The world is currently heading for 2.4 degrees warming by 2100 – the goal of 1.5 degrees cannot be achieved in this way



If all states’ commitments to climate protection for the year 2030 are implemented, global warming will climb to around 2.4 degrees by the end of the century, according to researchers.

Berlin – This is shown by new forecasts by the Climate Action Tracker (CAT), which were published on Tuesday at the World Climate Conference in Glasgow. If you only look at what the states are doing now and ignore further announcements, global warming will rise to 2.7 degrees by 2100. However, the goal agreed in the Paris Climate Agreement of 2015 is to limit the temperature rise to below two degrees, if possible 1.5 degrees, compared to the pre-industrial era. According to calculations by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, emissions of climate-damaging greenhouse gases would have to be halved by 2030.

The CAT researchers found that halfway through the climate change conference in Scotland there was a “credibility gap” between what was being said and what was being done. An “optimistic scenario” of just 1.8 degrees warming is also conceivable – but only if those countries keep their long-term commitments that want to become climate-neutral by the middle of the century. Most countries lacked reliable, concrete concepts for this. Greenpeace boss Jennifer Morgan called the forecast terrifying. “It is a devastating report that, in any sane world, would prompt governments to immediately settle their differences and work uncompromisingly on a deal to save our future.” Instead, one sees “subversion, sabotage and selfishness” of the powerful at COP26, while vulnerable states fought for their lives and young activists called for justice. (dpa)


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