De-escalation without trips at Easter in anticipation of a fourth wave caused by the British strain




The Generalitat Valenciana will announce next Thursday the de-escalation of the restrictions in force before the coronavirus after having managed to bring down the contagion curve and achieved the decline in the accumulated incidence of Covid-19, which has already dropped to pre-Christmas levels.

The Government that presides Ximo PuigHowever, it handles data that point to the arrival of a fourth wave of the pandemic caused by the British strain and already anticipates its willingness to shield the region to avoid trips at Easter that could spread the coronavirus. An approach, that of the perimeter closure of the autonomies for the next holidays, which the Valencian president will take to the Interterritorial Health Council for debate between the Ministry of Health and the communities.

If the forecast of Public health, the Valencian Community will arrive at the night of March 1, when the current restrictions due to the coronavirus expire, with a cumulative incidence of less than 250 positives marked by the experts who advise the president of the Generalitat, Ximo Puig, in order to begin to relax measures such as the total closure of the hotel business.

However, the de-escalation of restrictions It will be “slow, gradual and prudent” to alleviate the healthcare pressure and prepare the hospital system for a fourth wave of the coronavirus pandemic that epidemiologists consider as safe caused by the British variant of the Covid-19, with greater transmission capacity.

Image of the President of the Generalitat taken at a meeting with the experts who advise him on Covid-19
Image of the President of the Generalitat taken at a meeting with the experts who advise him on Covid-19 – ABC

So far, 613 cases of this strain have already been reported in Spain, which means el twenty percent of the total of those detected. In the Valencian Community, the latest official information from the Ministry of Health referred 64 positives, but experts assume that it is only the tip of the iceberg.

In this context, the Generalitat will opt for a cautious de-escalation to continue decreasing the occupation of hospitals in anticipation of the fourth wave that doctors consider inevitable. To date, fourteen percent of available beds house patients affected by the coronavirus. In the ICU, this percentage is still 38 percent. In both cases, the ratio is above the Spanish average, according to data from the Ministry of Health.

Furthermore, the proportion of positives of coronavirus Regarding the total of tests, it remains the highest in the country with a positivity rate of 15.6 percent.

[Estos son los cuatro espacios que albergarán la vacunación masiva en Valencia, Alicante, Castellón y Elche]

Thus, the Generalitat plans a progressive de-escalation, which will last for months (until May 9, the state of alarm decreed by the Government) and in which special attention will be paid to Easter week to avoid a rebound in the coronavirus contagion curve spurred by the British strain that translates into a new wave of deaths.

About, Ximo Puig It has already announced that it will request an agreement between the communities and the Government in the Interterritorial Health Council to limit mobility at Easter in Spain.

In the short term, the Generalitat plans to allow the reopening of the hospitality industry, closed from January 21, but with strong restrictions, as well as non-professional sports activities.

Meanwhile, you still have to decide until next Thursday, when the Interdepartmental Table meets for the Covid-19 if it maintains the schedule of the curfew, the perimeter closure and the confinements of the large municipalities on weekends. The new measures will take effect on March 2.

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