The risk of catching Covid in Aragon is 57% higher than in the rest of Spain


Zaragoza

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Aragon has been systematically one of the worst regional centers of Covid in all of Spain for more than five months. It concentrates a number of cases much higher than that which would correspond to it by demographic weight and the spread of the coronavirus continues to show rates well above the national average. Nowadays, the risk of catching Covid is 57% higher in Aragon than in the rest of Spain, as indicated by the official records of infection rates prepared by the Ministry of Health from the data provided by the regional authorities.

At the moment, Aragon is the third worst regional focus of Covid in all of Spain, and practically on a par with the second position held by the Basque Country. And all this at the beginning of Christmas, in which the Aragonese authorities have supported the Ministry to relax the restrictions, despite the fact that they already take for granted that the proliferation of social contacts will unleash a new wave of infections in January. In Aragon it will be the fourth pandemic wave, because the region has been especially precocious and recidivists in experiencing outbreaks since June.

Since the end of June, Aragon appears persistently in the leading group of infections. In fact, in summer it became, for weeks, the worst regional focus of Covid in all of Europe.

Now, although infections have moderated in recent weeks compared to the crazy rates that Aragon registered at the end of October and the beginning of November, this decline has been much less intense in this region than in most of Spain. That means that Aragon, despite accumulating three waves of contagion and having registered its record of deaths from Covid in November, is still the third worst regional focus in all of Spain in the last seven days.

Bad data

According to official data provided by the Government of Aragon and computed by the Ministry of Health, this region is currently the third region with the highest rate of infections in the last seven days:154 new infections per 100,000 inhabitants, when in the rest of Spain the average is 98 cases per 100,000 inhabitants.

Sira Repollés (PSOE), Minister of Health of the Aragonese Government chaired by Javier Lambán
Sira Repollés (PSOE), Minister of Health of the Aragonese Government chaired by Javier Lambán – F. Simón

This means that, currently, Covid is spreading 57% more in Aragon than in the rest of Spain. Or, what is the same, that the risk of being infected in Aragon at the moment is 57% higher than the average for the rest of Spain. Only La Rioja and the Basque Country have contagion rates higher than those of Aragon: respectively, 174 and 157 new cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the last seven days. In the case of the Basque Country – according to the worst Covid focus in all of Spain – the difference with Aragon is minimal.

The bad indicators for La Rioja, the Basque Country and Aragon contrast with those for the rest of Spain. For example, compared to the rate of 154 new infections per 100,000 inhabitants registered by Aragon in the last week, the Canary Islands only registered 41; Andalusia, 96; Murcia, 83; or 106 Madrid. In the Community of Madrid, the infection rate is currently 31% lower than in Aragon.

An excess of infections of 50%

This region, which only accounts for 2.8% of the population of all Spain, has nevertheless been concentrating 4.2% of infections for a week. This means that, in the national context, in Aragon there are 50% more infections than would correspond to it by demographic weight.

In the accumulated rate in the last 15 days, Aragon also appears in the leading group by rate of infections, with an index of 331 new cases per 100,000 inhabitants, when in the rest of Spain it is 242.

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